Yield Curve Gets Jiggy with the Unemployment Rate
REMEMBER: #1 – CHARTS ARE THE FOOT PRINT OF MONEY!#2 – TO PROFIT, you need to be where money is going, instead of chasing the market! With that said … The chart above illustrates that the unemployment rate tends to peak when the yield curve spread is between 2.4-4%. Currently, the yield-curve is inverted, signaling a lot of […]
QUITS Unemployment: Government, Private and Total Nonfarm
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics’ numbers are in. QUITS Unemployment: Government, Private and Total Nonfarm
Bank Tightening Standards for Commercial and Industrial Loans vs Unemployment Rate
The banks are being more careful when giving out loans than in the past, which means it’s harder for people to get loans.
Weekly Unemployment Jobless Claims
Pro Tip Weekly Unemployment Jobless Claims is a leading indicator. Weekly Job Less Unemployment Claims The Bottom Line … Jobless claims are the number of people filing weekly to receive unemployment insurance due to not having a job. That makes Jobless Claims an important leading indicator of the health of the economy. If jobless claims are […]
US Unemployment Rate
Pro Tip The Unemployment Rate is an important lagging indicator. What is the Unemployment Rate? “The total labor force consists of all employed and unemployed people within an economy. The unemployment rate provides insights into the economy’s spare capacity and unused resources. Unemployment tends to be cyclical and decreases when the economy expands as companies […]
Inflation vs S&P 500 vs Unemployment
This is what the FED is carefully watching. What do you think the FED will do next?
Is The 10/2 Gonna Kick Your A$$ ?
Curlycertainly Curlythreestooges GIFfrom Curlycertainly GIFs Unwinding the 10-2 ALWAYS seems to bite us in the 6! John Doe Tweet Unwinding The 10-2 Usually Bites You On Your 6! History proves to us that it is only been a matter of time! A forward leading indicator such as the unwinding of the 10/2 yield curve has […]
Job Openings is a Leading Indicator
Job openings is an accurate leading indicator for the unemployment rate. The recent divergence points to the unemployment rate likely to move higher. You can research more unemployment charts on Prime Investments here from the search box above, or just click this link: https://www.primeinvestments.com/?s=unemployment
The Fed Seems Serious About Bringing The Pain
REMEMBER: #1 – CHARTS ARE THE FOOT PRINT OF MONEY!#2 – TO PROFIT, you need to be where money is going, instead of chasing the market! Notice the “red dotted line” below on the mark-up to show the Past Recession Start Points. The Fed is forecasting a 0.5% rise in the unemployment rate by Q4 2023 Since 1950 […]
All Employee Temporary Help Services
Pro Tip All Employee Temporary Services is traditionally a better leading indicator than NFP (Non Farm Payroll) All Employee Temporary Help Services There’s a lot of focus on the Unemployment numbers and Non-Farm Payroll. And rightly so, but to gauge a coming recession, I believe All employee Temporary Help Services is a better indicator. Vibe […]