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Margin Debt Model Indicator

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The Margin Debt Model: Neutral

Chart shows margin debt levels as % of total market value, expressed as amount of standard deviations from historical norm.

Recession periods are shaded.

Summary:Margin debt is money investors borrow to invest in stocks. High margin debt indicates bullish investors, and tends to lead stock market corrections, particularly after margin rates begin falling from their peak. This model looks at changes in margin as a percent of total stock market value.

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