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US Coincident Indicator

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The State Coincidence Index Model: Normal

Chart shows # of US states with shrinking coincidence indicator scores.

Recession periods are shaded.

Summary:A State Coincidence Index (SCI) is an aggregate measure of individual state economic health. This model charts the number of states with month-over-month declines in their SCI. On average, if more than 25 states are in decline, the US overall is entering a recession.

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